I just finished the latest Gillmor Gang (I love that show) and there was some discussion of Sun’s $1/cpu-hr annoucement. The guys discussed the obvious applications, render farms and life science applications. I agree that Sun’s grid is obviously targeted at those applications, after all what cosumer can affort computing power at $1/cpu-hr and $1 GB/month…. Hey, wait, did the gurus just miss the obvious “residential application?”
Because I can’t transfer my local number to Vonage, I pay $42/month to BellSouth for local telephone service (I do have a Vonage account primarily to make long distance calls but also because VoIP is cool). I also pay $90/month for digital cable and high-speed Internet access. Jonathan Schwartz has said over and over that he sees the comditization of computing and computing as a utility. He practically laid it out for us in his post Looking Back on Commodities where he compares computing to electricity. Who wants to own and maintain their own generator!? Likewise will we be saying “Who wants to own and maintain their own computer?” As a member of the tech support generation, I don’t want some of my friends and family maintaining their own computer (3 hrs last Saturday to help a friend rebuild his Windows 98 system!).
So what’s the application to the home and home office? The device that everyone has missed is the Sun Ray. I’ve only seen one post (and from a Sun employee) making this connection. The Sun Ray is an ultra-thin computing client. They are all over Sun’s campus. Just swipe your Sun ID badge and wala, your desktop appears. In my opinion, a very under-hyped device.
So today I could buy/lease a good computer from Dell or Apple for $45/month. A computer that I must backup my critical data, keep virus free, apply the latest MS patches, etc. so that my wife could check email and surf the web (I’ve got an office laptop). Would I pay $45/month for a SunRay (and maybe even bandwidth) that was completely managed by Sun (or a Sun business partner), a device that would be secure, reliable, backed-up, and virus free (and even run Linux programs)? Probably. Would I recommend such a device to my friends and family? Definately.
Okay, so $45/month is definately more expensive than $500 at Wal-Mart and the $100 laptop. But if time is money, and it is, then this could work. After all Sun has all the pieces: inexpensive Opteron servers, Solaris containers, global grid, the mindset, the beta testers…